Mortgage rates

Teaser rates

Teaser rates may be a thing of the past and now we will see if the South Florida residential market can hold-up.  Today we will look at the average sale prices of houses and condos in the Greater Fort Lauderdale area.  This chart is through August, before the last pop in mortgage rates hit.  It […]

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Take a bite

At what point will higher mortgage rates take a bite out of residential real estate prices?  By looking at a few charts, you will notice that it may already be happening.  Here is a quick look at the trend in mortgage rates over the past five years.  The 30-year conforming mortgage rate as per Freddie […]

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Cooling process

A cooling process is underway in the South Florida residential real estate market.  Prices are stretched and buyers are finally taking notice.  It has been ten years since the housing bust and some of the same behavior is present in the market today.  Let’s look at a few charts. Condos cooling off? During the month […]

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Break on through

Rates have finally decided to break on through (to the other side) to quote The Doors.  We have been talking about how rates have been knocking on the door for awhile now and it finally happened.  This week the 10-year bond yield crossed 3.03% and the 30-year bond crossed 3.22% today.  Real estate agents need to be […]

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If it all falls down

What will happen if it all falls down?   I guess the housing “recovery” has been fun, but it looks like transaction volume continues to decline.  Today we will look at the Greater Fort Lauderdale / Broward County Florida residential real estate market.  The average monthly transaction volume has been declining since peaking in 2015. As […]

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Picked off running the bases

If you aren’t careful, you will get picked off while running the bases playing baseball.  Sometimes the game gets a little sleepy and the payers and fans drift away and stop paying attention.  The past decade of federal reserve accommodation in the form of low rates has removed most of the challenges from the real […]

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Deal or no deal?

Deal volume appears to be on the decline in the South Florida residential real estate market.  This could be seasonal, but it may also be due to higher rates finally having an impact.  The process of interest rate normalization may result in some real estate market changes, so you may want to prepare yourself.  Our […]

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Brace for impact

Now is a good time to brace yourself for the impact of higher rates.  We have been discussing the artificially low rates for quite sometime and it looks like the path to normalization has begun.  Take a look at this chart of rates, with a clear path for the 10-year bond to move closer to […]

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Let’s wait and see

Let’s wait and see how a variety of factors shape the real estate market as we finish 2017 and move into 2018.  Today we will discuss a few of them. Wait and see if rates rise We are now in the 8th year of the so-called “economic recovery” and the 10-year treasury rate remains below […]

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What happens when the training wheels come off?

For the past seven years, abnormally low interest rates have served as “training wheels” for the U.S. economy.  They have propelled stocks, bonds and real estate prices higher.  Under normal interest rate policy, the markets would not have reached these levels without better fundamentals.   Higher interest rates may be just one of the many […]

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