Tag Archives: mortgage rates

Pick your poison

When it comes to the current housing and mortgage market, I guess you have to pick your poison.  If rates move lower, there is a very good chance that the economy is slowing and the housing market will struggle.  If rates move higher, the economy may be stronger, but the higher rates will hurt the […]

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Will they see it this time around?

Will the real estate agents see it this time around?  So many of them were blindsided by the last downturn.  They were busy selling and collecting commissions on overpriced properties, ignoring all of the signs of a frothy market.  My guess is they won’t see it, because they don’t want to.  More importantly, real estate […]

Posted in Condo market, Fort Lauderdale real estate, Market Insight, Mortgage rates, South Florida Real Estate | Also tagged , , | Comments closed

The big unwind

A big unwind is on the horizon.  Although the low rates and easy money helped propel the real estate markets to new highs, it is important to maintain some perspective on how these levels were reached.  There has been lots of market manipulation “tools” in order to create this latest bubble, so don’t expect it […]

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Teaser rates

Teaser rates may be a thing of the past and now we will see if the South Florida residential market can hold-up.  Today we will look at the average sale prices of houses and condos in the Greater Fort Lauderdale area.  This chart is through August, before the last pop in mortgage rates hit.  It […]

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Pump it up

Pump it up!  Memorial Day weekend is here and it’s time to kick back, relax and look at a few charts of the South Florida residential real estate market. Today we will look at the average sale prices, transaction volume, mortgage rates and foreclosure filings. Pump up the prices The April existing home sales data […]

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Real estate speculation is a risky business

Real estate speculation is a a risky business.  Markets lose liquidity very quickly once rates increase and transaction volume starts to decline.  Ignoring some of these warnings will prove costly for some in this cycle, just like it did in the last one.  Take a look at this chart of transaction volume and you will […]

Posted in Fort Lauderdale real estate, Investment Property, Market Insight, Miami real estate, Palm Beach real estate, South Florida Real Estate | Also tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Break on through

Rates have finally decided to break on through (to the other side) to quote The Doors.  We have been talking about how rates have been knocking on the door for awhile now and it finally happened.  This week the 10-year bond yield crossed 3.03% and the 30-year bond crossed 3.22% today.  Real estate agents need to be […]

Posted in Foreclosure activity, Fort Lauderdale foreclosures, Fort Lauderdale real estate, Market Insight, Mortgage rates, South Florida Real Estate | Also tagged , | Comments closed

Picked off running the bases

If you aren’t careful, you will get picked off while running the bases playing baseball.  Sometimes the game gets a little sleepy and the payers and fans drift away and stop paying attention.  The past decade of federal reserve accommodation in the form of low rates has removed most of the challenges from the real […]

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Knocking on the door

The 10-year bond is knocking on the door to 3% again.   We made a run back in February and it failed. Why is this important?  Because mortgage rates closely track the 10-year bond and if rates rise, prices drop.  It’s just basic math and most people forget that rates have been so low for so […]

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Winds of change

Winds of change are blowing through the South Florida residential real estate market.  As we move through 2018 it appears that transaction volume is declining.  After several months of slower sales volume, you will typically start to see price declines.  Local real estate agents are usually slow to see the change in the market and […]

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